The internet is filled with both facts and speculations about the continued rate hikes implemented by the Fed Reserve Bank. Will they continue to hike and then hold, or will they hike and then cut? And what is the reality of the impact this will have on our economy?
As inflation surges to levels not seen since the 1980’s, home buyers dreams are slashed. Diana Click for CNBC states “It is clearly due to the plunging affordability,” said Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the Realtors.
Home purchase mortgage applications were 19% lower than the same week in July last year, and 6% lower than the prior week. Those numbers are a direct reflection of the impact inflation is having on our economy.
Inflation pace is the fastest it has been in more than 40 years. Unprecedented, historical, and painful. It is a pain that everyone is feeling, however some more than others.
In a recent CNBC interview, Kansas City Federal Reserve President Esther George noted that the Fed is looking to tighten financial conditions, of which equity markets are a component, in an effort to tamp down price increases running at their fastest pace in more than 40 years.
Rapidly rising mortgage interest rates are having a direct impact on mortgage application volumes, particularly for mortgage refinance applications. In an article by Adam DeSanctis for the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) “The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 8.1 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 8 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 14 percent from the previous week and was 54 percent lower than the same week one year ago.”
Whether you are in the market to buy or refinance a home, everyone is talking about the rising mortgage interest rates! Many predictions and questions are included in conversations on this topic, along with the variety of national and worldwide changes that are affecting the rates.
According to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) Market Composite Index, the Refinance Index is 50 percent lower compared to the same week one year ago, in January 2021. During the same week there was a small uptick over last year in purchase mortgage activity.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac expanded a home refinance program that helps low-to-moderate income households, giving them a better opportunity to refinance now while interest rates are low. The program was launched in June of 2021, but recently the income limit qualifier was increased as well as other modifications to the program to reach more homeowners.
Residential Purchase Mortgage Applications posted the largest increase since early July, which many sources say is a result of increased inventory and slightly reduced mortgage interest rates.