Whether you are in the market to buy or refinance a home, everyone is talking about the rising mortgage interest rates! Many predictions and questions are included in conversations on this topic, along with the variety of national and worldwide changes that are affecting the rates.
According to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) Market Composite Index, the Refinance Index is 50 percent lower compared to the same week one year ago, in January 2021. During the same week there was a small uptick over last year in purchase mortgage activity.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac expanded a home refinance program that helps low-to-moderate income households, giving them a better opportunity to refinance now while interest rates are low. The program was launched in June of 2021, but recently the income limit qualifier was increased as well as other modifications to the program to reach more homeowners.
Residential Purchase Mortgage Applications posted the largest increase since early July, which many sources say is a result of increased inventory and slightly reduced mortgage interest rates.
Many people working in the real estate and mortgage industry, as well as those considering buying or selling real estate, are watching the news and reports on expected changes from the Federal Reserve.
CNBC conducted a survey and share the results in this article written by Steve Liesman for CNBC:
If you’ve found yourself confused by recent headlines relating to mortgage interest rate, you are not alone! When reliable sources report contradictory information, even the leaders in the industry are left scratching their heads.
In a recent article on Reuters.com they report that “Fed officials agreed last month to leave interest rates near zero and to keep purchasing $120 billion a month in bonds until the U.S. economy makes substantial further progress toward the Fed’s goals for inflation and maximum employment” They further inform us that “Fed Bank President Robert Kaplan said on Monday that he still thinks it is possible the U.S. central bank could raise interest rates before the end of 2022, reaffirming the projection he made during the March policy-setting meeting.“
MortgageNewsDaily.com reports that according to Ice Mortgage Technology (formerly Ellie Mae), in their Loan Origination Report for January, “closed loans continued to show declining note rates in January, dropping from an average of 2.93 percent in December to 2.88 percent” and also includes “Interest rates continued to decline in January, driving up the share of refinances by seven percent,”
There is a lot of talk and prediction about the future of mortgage interest rates and home sales prices. The variables that lie in the future for both of these topics will happen. What does this mean for those of us who are considering refinancing or purchasing a home? It means that interest rates and home prices may go up or may go down.
A recent article on CNBC.com, written by Jeff Cox, and Titled: Fed holds rates steady near zero and indicates it will stay there for years, includes the following statement “Projections from individual members also indicated that rates could stay anchored near zero through 2023. All but four members indicated they see zero rates through then. This was the first time the committee forecast its outlook for 2023.” The article details the projections and expectations of the policymaking Federal Open Market Committee.