Rapidly rising mortgage interest rates are having a direct impact on mortgage application volumes, particularly for mortgage refinance applications. In an article by Adam DeSanctis for the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) “The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 8.1 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 8 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 14 percent from the previous week and was 54 percent lower than the same week one year ago.”
According to an article written by Matthew Graham for Mortgage News Daily “Adults who are old enough to remember 1994 have always had an ace in the hole when it comes to today’s young whipper snappers complaining about abrupt spikes in mortgage rates. Sure, even older adults have the first few months of 1980, but 1994 was a more compelling example because it wasn’t part of the once-in-a-lifetime inflationary spike. As such, it is a more worthy comparison to any modern example of rate volatility. As of today, the race between the first few months of 1994 and 2022 are neck and neck in terms of damage done to mortgage rates in a short amount of time.”
According to an article written by Jann Swanson for MortgageNewDaily.com “The number of non-current loans has declined in every stage. Loans that were in the early delinquency, 30 to 59 days past due, represented 1.2 percent of loans in November, down from 1.4 percent the prior November and the rate of those 60 to 89 days delinquent was slashed in half, to 0.3 percent. Serious delinquencies, loans 90 days or more past due, including loans in foreclosure, which reached a high of 4.3 percent in August 2020, are now at a 2.0 percent rate, again only slightly more than half the rate a year earlier.”
MortgageNewsDaily.com reports that according to Ice Mortgage Technology (formerly Ellie Mae), in their Loan Origination Report for January, “closed loans continued to show declining note rates in January, dropping from an average of 2.93 percent in December to 2.88 percent” and also includes “Interest rates continued to decline in January, driving up the share of refinances by seven percent,”
The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) coupled with Wells Fargo 35 years ago to create the Housing Market Index (HMI). NAHB.org defines the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) as based on a monthly survey of NAHB members designed to take the pulse of the single-family housing market. The survey asks respondents to rate market conditions for the sale of new homes at the present time and in the next six months as well as the traffic of prospective buyers of new homes.
Understanding Mortgage Forbearancce Plans, and taking advantage of them during the COVID Pandemic provides borrowers with options, but it’s important to understand how the programs work and what the impact of entering into a plan will have on the future of your mortgage.
A recent article by CNBC.com provides an excellent overview of the details that report a historic increase in existing home sales in June over May. The key points they present include respected sources like the National Association of Realtors:
The world is filled with news about the many impacts the pandemic has had on our lives, and most are negative: social distancing, wearing masks, education impacted by school closures, loss of jobs, and health challenges, even death.
Lenders across the US are struggling to keep up with the Mortgage Refinance Boom. The recent Federal Reserve rate cut has motivated many homeowners that were waiting for the right time to refinance to make their move and file an application. Major lenders are doing their best to meet the need including hiring new loan underwriters, processors, and closers. Purchase application volumes have also increased to the highest level in over 11 years, which is adding to the pressure on the entire mortgage industry affecting lenders, appraisers, and title companies.
MortgageNewsDaily.com says we will need to wait and see if mortgage rates will drop back into all-time lows. The impact of the pandemic has had it’s affect on bond markets which are driving mortgage rates.